COMPOSITE LEADING INDICATOR OF CZECH BUSINESS CYCLE

被引：7
|
作者：
Tkacova, Andrea [1 ]
机构：
[1] Tech Univ Kosice, Fac Econ, Kosice 04101, Slovakia
来源：
POLITICKA EKONOMIE | 2012年 / 60卷 / 05期
关键词：
Business cycle; composite leading indicator; reference series; cyclical indicator;
D O I：
10.18267/j.polek.865
中图分类号：
F [经济];
学科分类号：
02 ;
摘要：
The main goal of this paper is to create composite leading indicator for Czech economy and its comparison with composite leading indicators created by OECD and Eurostat. The theoretical part of the paper consists of the methods that are employed for creation composite leading indicator in the world. We compare methods of OECD, Eurostat, Conference Board and the methods of Slovak and Czech authors. The empirical part of the paper is focused on analysis of 120 indicators of Czech economy and their selection on the coincident, lagging and leading indicators. From the group of leading indicators is created new composite leading indicator for Czech economy which can by used on monitoring and short-term prediction of Czech business cycle.
引用
收藏
页码：590 / 613
页数：24
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