Modeling dynamics in household car ownership over life courses: a latent class competing risks model

被引:12
|
作者
Gu, Gaofeng [1 ]
Feng, Tao [1 ]
Yang, Dujuan [2 ]
Timmermans, Harry [1 ,3 ]
机构
[1] Eindhoven Univ Technol, Urban Planning Grp, Eindhoven, Netherlands
[2] Eindhoven Univ Technol, Informat Syst, Eindhoven, Netherlands
[3] Nanjing Univ Aeronaut & Astronaut, Dept Air Transportat Management, Nanjing, Peoples R China
关键词
Car ownership; Life events; Latent class competing risks model; Heterogeneity; MIDTERM MOBILITY DECISIONS; ACCELERATED HAZARD MODEL; LONG-TERM; VEHICLE TRANSACTION; CYCLE EVENTS; DURATION; SCRAPPAGE; IMPACT; LEVEL; CITY;
D O I
10.1007/s11116-019-10078-8
中图分类号
TU [建筑科学];
学科分类号
0813 ;
摘要
This study presents a latent class competing risks model to examine the influence of socio-demographics and life course events on car transaction behaviour. The types of car transaction and interval times between car transactions events are incorporated in a competing risk model. To capture unobserved behavioural heterogeneity across the population, the model classifies households into different segments. Results estimated based on retrospective survey data show significant heterogeneity exist in household car ownership decisions. The covariates are found to have different effects on car ownership decisions between different classes. Households in the class labelled "Young households without a car" are more sensitive to life course events related to household composition. Households labelled as "middle-aged and aged households with car(s)" are more sensitive to life course events related to job and house locations.
引用
收藏
页码:809 / 829
页数:21
相关论文
共 3 条
  • [1] Modeling dynamics in household car ownership over life courses: a latent class competing risks model
    Gaofeng Gu
    Tao Feng
    Dujuan Yang
    Harry Timmermans
    [J]. Transportation, 2021, 48 : 809 - 829
  • [2] A latent class model for competing risks
    Rowley, M.
    Garmo, H.
    Van Hemelrijck, M.
    Wulaningsih, W.
    Grundmark, B.
    Zethelius, B.
    Hammar, N.
    Walldius, G.
    Inoue, M.
    Holmberg, L.
    Coolen, A. C. C.
    [J]. STATISTICS IN MEDICINE, 2017, 36 (13) : 2100 - 2119
  • [3] Joint modeling of repeated multivariate cognitive measures and competing risks of dementia and death: a latent process and latent class approach
    Proust-Lima, Cecile
    Dartigues, Jean-Francois
    Jacqmin-Gadda, Helene
    [J]. STATISTICS IN MEDICINE, 2016, 35 (03) : 382 - 398