growth drivers;
China and India;
emerging economies;
Granger causality;
short-term and long-term relationship between growth rates;
TIME-SERIES;
UNIT-ROOT;
TRADE;
IMPACT;
COINTEGRATION;
TERMS;
D O I:
10.1057/ejdr.2012.30
中图分类号:
F0 [经济学];
F1 [世界各国经济概况、经济史、经济地理];
C [社会科学总论];
学科分类号:
0201 ;
020105 ;
03 ;
0303 ;
摘要:
India and China are two Asian emerging economies, the unprecedented growth of which have led many to argue that in the face of slowdown in growth of the North these emerging economies will act as the new growth drivers for the South. However, not much empirical evidence is available to support this argument. This article estimates the growth linkages between the developing Asia and the two Asian emerging economies in terms of co-integration and causation in their growth rates. Both short-term and long-term relationships are tested between growth of China and India with growth of the developing countries of Asia for the period 1970-2009. The issue of whether these countries can provide market for the South is also examined. The results show that whereas China has acted as a growth driver for the developing Asia, no empirical evidence of this is found for India.
机构:
Asian Dev Bank, Econ & Res Dept, Mandaluyong City 1550, Metro Manila, PhilippinesAsian Dev Bank, Econ & Res Dept, Mandaluyong City 1550, Metro Manila, Philippines
Park, Donghyun
Shin, Kwanho
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机构:
Korea Univ, Dept Econ, Seoul 136701, South KoreaAsian Dev Bank, Econ & Res Dept, Mandaluyong City 1550, Metro Manila, Philippines
机构:
Hong Kong Baptist Univ, Dept Geog, Hong Kong Energy Studies Ctr, Kowloon, Hong Kong, Peoples R ChinaHong Kong Baptist Univ, Dept Geog, Hong Kong Energy Studies Ctr, Kowloon, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
机构:
Cent Univ Finance & Econ, Sch Econ, Beijing, Peoples R ChinaCent Univ Finance & Econ, Sch Econ, Beijing, Peoples R China
Li, Jie
Rajan, Ramkishen S.
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机构:
Natl Univ Singapore, Lee Kuan Yew Sch Publ Policy, Singapore 117548, Singapore
George Mason Univ, Sch Policy Govt & Int Affairs, Arlington, VA USACent Univ Finance & Econ, Sch Econ, Beijing, Peoples R China
Rajan, Ramkishen S.
Hattari, Rabin
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机构:
Asian Dev Bank, Jakarta, IndonesiaCent Univ Finance & Econ, Sch Econ, Beijing, Peoples R China