Measuring Infection Transmission in a Stochastic SIV Model with Infection Reintroduction and Imperfect Vaccine

被引:10
|
作者
Gamboa, M. [1 ]
Lopez-Herrero, M. J. [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Complutense Madrid, Fac Stat Studies, Madrid, Spain
关键词
Stochastic Markovian epidemic; Imperfect vaccine; Basic reproduction number; EPIDEMIC MODEL; MATHEMATICAL-ANALYSIS; DYNAMICS; PREVALENCE; STRATEGIES; THRESHOLD; DISEASES; NUMBER;
D O I
10.1007/s10441-019-09373-9
中图分类号
Q [生物科学];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
An additional compartment of vaccinated individuals is considered in a SIS stochastic epidemic model with infection reintroduction. The quantification of the spread of the disease is modeled by a continuous time Markov chain. A well-known measure of the initial transmission potential is the basic reproduction number R 0, which determines the herd immunity threshold or the critical proportion of immune individuals required to stop the spread of a disease when a vaccine offers a complete protection. Due to repeated contacts between the typical infective and previously infected individuals, R 0 overestimates the average number of secondary infections and leads to, perhaps unnecessary, high immunization coverage. Assuming that the vaccine is imperfect, alternative measures to R 0 are defined in order to study the influence of the initial coverage and vaccine efficacy on the transmission of the epidemic.
引用
收藏
页码:395 / 420
页数:26
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