Non-Linearities in East European Black-Market Exchange Rates

被引:0
|
作者
Peel, David A. [1 ]
Speight, Alan E. H.
机构
[1] Univ Liverpool, Dept Econ & Accounting, Liverpool L69 7ZA, Merseyside, England
关键词
exchange rates; black-markets; non-linearity; bilinearity; quadratic-ARCH;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
This paper reports evidence of non-linearities in the black-market exchange returns of the Bulgarian lev, Czechoslovak koruna, Hungarian forint, Polish zloty, Rumanian lei and Soviet ruble. Attempts to characterize that non-linearity using QGARCH and simultaneous BL-QGARCH models prove successful for the forint, zloty and ruble. However, the appropriate representations of non-linearities in the lev, koruna and lei remain unresolved, and a low-order deterministic characterization of the lev cannot be precluded.
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页码:39 / 57
页数:19
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