Systemic financial risk and macroeconomic activity in China

被引:5
|
作者
He, Qing [1 ,2 ]
Liu, Junyi [3 ]
Gan, Jingyun [1 ]
Qian, Zongxin [1 ]
机构
[1] Renmin Univ China, Sch Finance, Beijing, Peoples R China
[2] Renmin Univ China, China Financial Policy Res Ctr, Beijing, Peoples R China
[3] Soka Univ Amer, Dept Econ, Aliso Viejo, CA 92656 USA
关键词
Systemic financial risk; Principal components quantile regression; Real economy;
D O I
10.1016/j.jeconbus.2018.10.002
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
Using the principal components quantile regression (PCQR) method, we construct a systemic financial risk index that aggregates information from 15 popular measures of systemic risk. The empirical results indicate that our index is able to accurately predict the distribution of subsequent shocks to the real economy of China.
引用
收藏
页码:57 / 63
页数:7
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] Managerial macroeconomic perception and systemic risk in China
    Guo, Peng
    Jiang, Fuwei
    Li, Mengru
    Liu, Yumin
    [J]. PACIFIC-BASIN FINANCE JOURNAL, 2024, 88
  • [2] Macroeconomic news announcements, systemic risk, financial market volatility, and jumps
    Huang, Xin
    [J]. JOURNAL OF FUTURES MARKETS, 2018, 38 (05) : 513 - 534
  • [3] Options-based systemic risk, financial distress, and macroeconomic downturns
    Bevilacqua, Mattia
    Tunaru, Radu
    Vioto, Davide
    [J]. JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL MARKETS, 2023, 65
  • [4] Downside risk, financial conditions and systemic risk in China
    Wang, Bo
    Li, Haoran
    [J]. PACIFIC-BASIN FINANCE JOURNAL, 2021, 68
  • [5] Types of systemic risk and macroeconomic forecast: Evidence from China
    Huang, Yunying
    Gui, Wenlin
    Jiang, Yixin
    Zhu, Fengyi
    [J]. ELECTRONIC RESEARCH ARCHIVE, 2022, 30 (12): : 4469 - 4492
  • [6] Systemic risk, financial security and the financial holding companies of China
    Chen, Xuemin
    [J]. 2016 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON INDUSTRIAL ECONOMICS SYSTEM AND INDUSTRIAL SECURITY ENGINEERING (IEIS), 2016,
  • [7] Financial innovation, macroeconomic stability and systemic crises
    Gai, Prasanna
    Kapadia, Sujit
    Millard, Stephen
    Perez, Ander
    [J]. ECONOMIC JOURNAL, 2008, 118 (527): : 401 - 426
  • [8] Interconnectedness and systemic risk of China's financial institutions
    Wang, Gang-Jin
    Jiang, Zhi-Qiang
    Lin, Min
    Xie, Chi
    Stanley, H. Eugene
    [J]. EMERGING MARKETS REVIEW, 2018, 35 : 1 - 18
  • [9] Systemic risk of multi-layer financial network system under macroeconomic fluctuations
    Gao, Qianqian
    Lv, Dayong
    Jin, Xiaomei
    [J]. FRONTIERS IN PHYSICS, 2022, 10