Convolutional Neural Network for Short-term Wind Power Forecasting

被引:12
|
作者
Solas, Margarida [1 ]
Cepeda, Nuno [1 ]
Viegas, Joaquim L. [2 ]
机构
[1] Powergrid, Lisbon, Portugal
[2] Univ Lisbon, Inst Super Tecn, IDMEC, Lisbon, Portugal
关键词
wind power forecasting; convolutional neural network; benchmarking methods;
D O I
10.1109/isgteurope.2019.8905432
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Wind power generation is becoming increasingly relevant to the power supply system as it is clean and renewable. This paper proposes a novel methodology for short-term wind power forecasting, based on a convolutional neural network (CNN). In this work, we evaluate the CNN ability of predicting the wind power generation by comparing it to two benchmarking methods - ARIMA and gradient boosting machine (GBM). We prove that CNN is well suited for this purpose, outperforming the other tested techniques, specially when the prediction horizon is greater than 1-hour. Besides, this paper shows that additional features like meteorological forecasts provide fruitful information, powering the CNN performance.
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页数:5
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