Hedging and safe-haven characteristics of Gold against currencies: An investigation based on multivariate dynamic copula theory

被引:23
|
作者
Quynh Nga Nguyen [1 ,2 ]
Bedoui, Rihab [3 ]
Majdoub, Najemeddine [7 ]
Guesmi, Khaled [4 ]
Chevallier, Julien [5 ,6 ]
机构
[1] ESSEC Business Sch, Cergy Pontoise, France
[2] Univ Cergy Pontoise THEMA, LABEX MME DII, Cergy Pontoise, France
[3] Inst Higher Business Studies Sousse, LaREMFiQ, Sousse, Tunisia
[4] Paris Sch Business, Ctr Res Energy & Climate Change CRECC, Paris, France
[5] IPAG Business Sch IPAG Lab, 184 Bd St Germain, F-75006 Paris, France
[6] Univ Paris 8 LED, 2 Rue Liberte, F-93526 St Denis, France
[7] STB Bank, Sousse, Tunisia
关键词
Copula; Gold; Effective exchange rates; Safe-haven; Hedging; EXCHANGE-RATES; NEURAL-NETWORK; PRICE; RISK; OIL; MARKET; STOCKS; VOLATILITY; DEPENDENCE; RETURNS;
D O I
10.1016/j.resourpol.2020.101766
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
The copula concept presents a powerful and flexible tool for studying and modeling multivariate distribution. The most popular copulas are the Archimedean and elliptical copula used to analyze the dependence distribution. In this article, we assess the capacity of Gold to be a hedge or a safe-haven against the depreciation value of USD, EUR, and JPY on average and during extreme movement using the copula theory. We then examine the dependence structure between Gold and exchange rates during the sub-prime crisis and the dramatic increase in the USD value. Empirical results suggest that Gold is an effective and robust hedge against the depreciation value of the currencies. A noteworthy finding, we find that Gold is a stabilizing asset with substantial safe-haven property in turmoil and high uncertainty periods.
引用
收藏
页数:15
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