GCN-based stock relations analysis for stock market prediction

被引:5
|
作者
Zhao, Cheng [1 ]
Liu, Xiaohui [2 ]
Zhou, Jie [1 ]
Cen, Yuefeng [3 ]
Yao, Xiaomin [4 ]
机构
[1] Zhejiang Univ Technol, Sch Econ, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, Peoples R China
[2] Zhejiang Univ Technol, Coll Comp Sci & Technol, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, Peoples R China
[3] Zhejiang Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Informat & Elect Engn, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, Peoples R China
[4] Zhejiang Univ Technol, Coll Entrepreneurship, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
Stock prediction; Multi-factor; Stock relation; Time series; Graph-based learning; LSTM; MODEL; CONNECTEDNESS;
D O I
10.7717/peerj-cs.1057
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
Most stock price predictive models merely rely on the target stock's historical informa-tion to forecast future prices, where the linkage effects between stocks are neglected. However, a group of prior studies has shown that the leverage of correlations between stocks could significantly improve the predictions. This article proposes a unified time-series relational multi-factor model (TRMF), which composes a self-generating relations (SGR) algorithm that can extract relational features automatically. In addition, the TRMF model integrates stock relations with other multiple dimensional features for the price prediction compared to extant works. Experimental validations are performed on the NYSE and NASDAQ data, where the model is compared with the popular methods such as attention Long Short-Term Memory network (Attn-LSTM), Support Vector Regression (SVR), and multi-factor framework (MF). Results show that compared with these extant methods, our model has a higher expected cumulative return rate and a lower risk of return volatility.
引用
收藏
页数:22
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