Water used to be infinite: a Brazilian tale of climate change

被引：4

作者：

dos Santos, Joaquim Rocha ^{[1
]}

Franco, Eduardo Ferreira ^{[2
,3
]}

Carvalho, Hamilton Coimbra ^{[4
]}

Armenia, Stefano ^{[5
,6
]}

Pompei, Alessandro ^{[7
]}

Medaglia, Carlo Maria ^{[5
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Sao Paulo, Polytech Sch, Dept Naval & Ocean Engn, Sao Paulo, Brazil

[2] Univ Sao Paulo, Polytech Sch, Dept Comp & Digital Syst Engn, Sao Paulo, Brazil

[3] Sapienza Univ Rome, Dept Automat Comp Engn & Management, Rome, Italy

[4] Univ Sao Paulo, Fac Econ Adm & Accounting, Sao Paulo, Brazil

[5] Link Campus Univ, Dept Res, Rome, Lazio, Italy

[6] Syst Dynam Italian Chapter SYDIC, Rome, Italy

[7] Univ Roma La Sapienza, Dept Automat Comp Engn & Management, Rome, Italy

来源：

KYBERNETES | 2019年 / 48卷 / 01期

关键词：

System dynamics; Metropolitan region of Sao Paulo; Water supply crisis; SYSTEM DYNAMICS SIMULATION; MANAGEMENT; RIVER; BASIN; MODEL;

D O I：

10.1108/K-11-2017-0438

中图分类号：

TP3 [计算技术、计算机技术];

学科分类号：

0812 ;

摘要：

Purpose The purpose of this study is to analyze the impacts of different policies to address the water supply crisis experienced by the metropolitan region of Sao Paulo during 2013 to 2015 and evaluate the resilience of its water supply system for the coming years. Design/methodology/approach The methodology used in this study is based on the system dynamics simulation paradigm, combined with empirical data obtained from the regional water authority. Findings The results from the simulations suggest that the first layer of sustainability of the water supply in the region strongly depends on how the system's operator responds to crises, in particular how it balances policies acting on the supply and demand for the resource.

引用

页码：143 / 162

页数：20

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