A LARGE SIMULATION EXPERIMENT TO TEST INFLUENZA PANDEMIC BEHAVIOR

被引：0
|
作者：
Beeler, Michael F. [1 ]
Aleman, Dionne M. [1 ]
Carter, Michael W. [1 ]
机构：
[1] Univ Toronto, Dept Mech & Ind Engn, Toronto, ON M5S 3G8, Canada
来源：
2012 WINTER SIMULATION CONFERENCE (WSC) | 2012年
关键词：
H1N1; 2009;
D O I：
暂无
中图分类号：
TP301 [理论、方法];
学科分类号：
081202 ;
摘要：
The effectiveness of mass vaccination and voluntary self-quarantine to mitigate pandemic influenza is tested in a large agent-based simulation. The characteristics of the pandemic-infectiousness, days contagious, and risk of death-are varied systematically along with the mitigation efforts in a five-factor designed experiment. A total of 243 distinct pandemic scenarios are tested. A range of two-way and three-way interaction effects are found that show significant non-linearities and contingencies in pandemic behavior and intervention effectiveness.
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页数：7
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