The quiet revolution of numerical weather prediction

被引:1442
|
作者
Bauer, Peter [1 ]
Thorpe, Alan [1 ]
Brunet, Gilbert [2 ]
机构
[1] European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
[2] Environm Canada, Quebec City, PQ H9P 1J3, Canada
关键词
OPERATIONAL IMPLEMENTATION; RADIATIVE-TRANSFER; ASSIMILATION; CLIMATE; MODELS; PARAMETERIZATION; UNCERTAINTY; SKILL; RESOLUTION; CONVECTION;
D O I
10.1038/nature14956
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Advances in numerical weather prediction represent a quiet revolution because they have resulted from a steady accumulation of scientific knowledge and technological advances over many years that, with only a few exceptions, have not been associated with the aura of fundamental physics breakthroughs. Nonetheless, the impact of numerical weather prediction is among the greatest of any area of physical science. As a computational problem, global weather prediction is comparable to the simulation of the human brain and of the evolution of the early Universe, and it is performed every day at major operational centres across the world.
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页码:47 / 55
页数:9
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