How does political instability affect economic growth?
被引:346
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作者:
Aisen, An
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机构:
Int Monetary Fund, Middle Eastern & Cent Asian Dept, Washington, DC 20431 USAInt Monetary Fund, Middle Eastern & Cent Asian Dept, Washington, DC 20431 USA
Aisen, An
[1
]
Veiga, Francisco Jose
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机构:
Univ Minho, P-4710057 Braga, Portugal
NIPE, Escola Econ & Gestao, P-4710057 Braga, PortugalInt Monetary Fund, Middle Eastern & Cent Asian Dept, Washington, DC 20431 USA
Veiga, Francisco Jose
[2
,3
]
机构:
[1] Int Monetary Fund, Middle Eastern & Cent Asian Dept, Washington, DC 20431 USA
[2] Univ Minho, P-4710057 Braga, Portugal
[3] NIPE, Escola Econ & Gestao, P-4710057 Braga, Portugal
The purpose of this paper is to empirically determine the effects of political instability on economic growth. By using the system-GMM estimator for linear dynamic panel data models on a sample covering up to 169 countries, and 5-year periods from 1960 to 2004, we find that higher degrees of political instability are associated with lower growth rates of GDP per capita. Regarding the channels of transmission, we find that political instability adversely affects growth by lowering the rates of productivity growth and, to a smaller degree, physical and human capital accumulation. Finally, economic freedom and ethnic homogeneity are beneficial to growth, while democracy may have a small negative effect. (C) 2012 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
机构:
Xiamen Univ, China Inst Studies Energy Policy, Sch Management, Xiamen 361005, Fujian, Peoples R ChinaXiamen Univ, China Inst Studies Energy Policy, Sch Management, Xiamen 361005, Fujian, Peoples R China