Will bequests attenuate the predicted meltdown in stock prices when baby boomers retire?

被引:68
|
作者
Abel, AB [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Penn, Wharton Sch, Philadelphia, PA 19104 USA
[2] Natl Bur Econ Res, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA
关键词
D O I
10.1162/003465301753237678
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
General equilibrium models that predict a reduction in asset prices when baby boomers retire typically assume that people consume all of their wealth before they die, However, many people hold substantial wealth when they die, I develop a rational expectations, general equilibrium model with a bequest motive. In this model, a baby boom increases stock prices, and stock prices are rationally anticipated to fall when the baby boomers retire, even though consumers continue to hold assets throughout retirement. The continued high demand for assets by retired baby boomers does not attenuate the fall in the price of capital.
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页码:589 / 595
页数:7
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