Timing, sequencing, and quantum of life course events:: A machine learning approach

被引:27
|
作者
Billari, Francesco C.
Fuernkranz, Johannes
Prskawetz, Alexia
机构
[1] Univ Bocconi, Inst Quantitat Methods, I-20135 Milan, Italy
[2] IGIER, I-20135 Milan, Italy
[3] Tech Univ Darmstadt, Knowledge Engn Grp, Dept Comp Sci, D-64289 Darmstadt, Germany
[4] Vienna Inst Demog, A-1040 Vienna, Austria
关键词
data mining; event history; life course; machine learning; transition to adulthood;
D O I
10.1007/s10680-005-5549-0
中图分类号
C921 [人口统计学];
学科分类号
摘要
In this paper we discuss and apply machine learning techniques, using ideas from a core research area in the artificial intelligence literature to analyse simultaneously timing, sequencing, and quantum of life course events from a comparative perspective. We outline the need for techniques which allow the adoption of a holistic approach to life course analysis, illustrating the specific case of the transition to adulthood. We briefly introduce machine learning algorithms to build decision trees and rule sets and then apply such algorithms to delineate the key features which distinguish Austrian and Italian pathways to adulthood, using Fertility and Family Survey data. The key role of sequencing and synchronization between events emerges clearly from the analysis.
引用
收藏
页码:37 / 65
页数:29
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