Brown's paradox in the estimated confidence approach

被引:4
|
作者
Wang, HY [1 ]
机构
[1] Acad Sinica, Inst Stat Sci, Taipei 11529, Taiwan
来源
ANNALS OF STATISTICS | 1999年 / 27卷 / 02期
关键词
confidence interval; admissibility; coverage function; the usual constant coverage probability estimator; ancillary statistic;
D O I
10.1214/aos/1018031210
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
A widely held notion of classical conditional theory is that statistical inference in the presence of ancillary statistics should he independent of the distribution of those ancillary statistcs. In this paper, ancillary paradoxes which contradict this notion are presented for two scenarios involving confidence estimation. These results are related to Brown's ancillary paradox in point estimation. Moreover, the confidence coefficient, the usual constant coverage probability estimator, is shown to be inadmissible for confidence estimation in the multiple regression model with random predictor variables if the dimension of the slope parameters is greater than five. Some estimators better than the confidence coefficient are provided in this paper. These new estimators are constructed based on empirical Bayes estimators.
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页码:610 / 626
页数:17
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