Development Determinants of CO2 Emissions Reducing Technologies

This article documents of one of the stages of work on the energetic foresight implemented in Poland. The project was designed to provide information, what is the level of social acceptance of zero-emission technology. The main objective of the authors was to identify the factors that Polish society perceives to be the most conducive to the development of zero-emission economy, and, on the other hand, recognizes as the strongest barriers in this respect. The presented aspects include the results analysis of a questionnaire-type study, which was conducted on the sample of 1200 respondents. For each of thesis the following questions were answered: 1.When will the thesis be realized? 2. What will be the impact of the thesis assumptions implementation on the individual fields of zero-emission economy? 3.What factors will facilitate and which will impede the implementation of this thesis? The analysis of the responses to question 1 was based on subjective probability theory, assuming that the duration of the thesis implementation is a random variable of Weibull distribution. Answers to question 2 and 3 were presented in the form of individual influence matrices, and then appropriate calculations were performed. This allowed to determine the impact of the factors identified in the study and of the surrounding fields on the zero emission economy. It has been shown that the most potent stimulators are: appropriate public education and the new legal regulations, whereas the barriers are: habits of society firmly rooted in the coal economy and the economic costs of zero-emission policy.