Robust Bayesian seemingly unrelated regression model

被引:2
|
作者
Mbah, Chamberlain [1 ]
Peremans, Kris [2 ]
Van Aelst, Stefan [2 ]
Benoit, Dries F. [3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Ghent, Dept Basic Med Sci, Proeftuinstr 86, B-9000 Ghent, Belgium
[2] Katholieke Univ Leuven, Sect Stat, Dept Math, Celestijnenlaan 200B, B-3001 Louvain, Belgium
[3] Univ Ghent, Fac Econ & Business Adm, Tweekerkenstr 2, Ghent, Belgium
关键词
Conjugate prior; Diagnostic procedure; Heavy-tailed distributions; Markov Chain Monte Carlo; Robustness; Scale mixture of normal distributions; DIRECT MONTE-CARLO; SENSITIVITY; INFERENCE;
D O I
10.1007/s00180-018-0854-3
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
A robust Bayesian model for seemingly unrelated regression is proposed. By using heavy-tailed distributions for the likelihood, robustness in the response variable is attained. In addition, this robust procedure is combined with a diagnostic approach to identify observations that are far from the bulk of the data in the multivariate space spanned by all variables. The most distant observations are downweighted to reduce the effect of leverage points. The resulting robust Bayesian model can be interpreted as a heteroscedastic seemingly unrelated regression model. Robust Bayesian estimates are obtained by a Markov Chain Monte Carlo approach. Complications by using a heavy-tailed error distribution are resolved efficiently by representing these distributions as a scale mixture of normal distributions. Monte Carlo simulation experiments confirm that the proposed model outperforms its traditional Bayesian counterpart when the data are contaminated in the response and/or the input variables. The method is demonstrated on a real dataset.
引用
收藏
页码:1135 / 1157
页数:23
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