Sea surface temperature in the north tropical Atlantic as a trigger for El Nino/Southern Oscillation events
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作者:
Ham, Yoo-Geun
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NASA, Global Modeling & Assimilat Off, GSFC, Greenbelt, MD 20771 USA
Univ Space Res Assoc, Columbia, MD 21044 USANASA, Global Modeling & Assimilat Off, GSFC, Greenbelt, MD 20771 USA
Ham, Yoo-Geun
[1
,2
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Kug, Jong-Seong
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机构:
Korea Inst Ocean Sci & Technol, Ansan 426744, South KoreaNASA, Global Modeling & Assimilat Off, GSFC, Greenbelt, MD 20771 USA
Kug, Jong-Seong
[3
]
Park, Jong-Yeon
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机构:
Korea Inst Ocean Sci & Technol, Ansan 426744, South KoreaNASA, Global Modeling & Assimilat Off, GSFC, Greenbelt, MD 20771 USA
Park, Jong-Yeon
[3
]
Jin, Fei-Fei
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Univ Hawaii, Dept Meteorol, Honolulu, HI 96822 USANASA, Global Modeling & Assimilat Off, GSFC, Greenbelt, MD 20771 USA
Jin, Fei-Fei
[4
]
机构:
[1] NASA, Global Modeling & Assimilat Off, GSFC, Greenbelt, MD 20771 USA
[2] Univ Space Res Assoc, Columbia, MD 21044 USA
[3] Korea Inst Ocean Sci & Technol, Ansan 426744, South Korea
[4] Univ Hawaii, Dept Meteorol, Honolulu, HI 96822 USA
El Nino events, the warm phase of the El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO), are known to affect other tropical ocean basins through teleconnections. Conversely, mounting evidence suggests that temperature variability in the Atlantic Ocean may also influence ENSO variability(1-5). Here we use reanalysis data and general circulation models to show that sea surface temperature anomalies in the north tropical Atlantic during the boreal spring can serve as a trigger for ENSO events. We identify a subtropical teleconnection in which spring warming in the north tropical Atlantic can induce a low-level cyclonic atmospheric flow over the eastern Pacific Ocean that in turn produces a low-level anticyclonic flow over the western Pacific during the following months. This flow generates easterly winds over the western equatorial Pacific that cool the equatorial Pacific and may trigger a La Nina event the following winter. In addition, El Nino events led by cold anomalies in the north tropical Atlantic tend to be warm-pool El Nino events, with a centre of action located in the central Pacific(6,7), rather than canonical El Nino events. We suggest that the identification of temperature anomalies in the north tropical Atlantic could help to forecast the development of different types of El Nino event.
机构:
Global Modeling and Assimilation Office, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt
Goddard Earth Sciences Technology and Research Studies and Investigations, Universities Space Research Association, ColumbiaGlobal Modeling and Assimilation Office, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt
Ham Y.-G.
Kug J.-S.
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机构:
Korea Institute of Ocean Science and TechnologyGlobal Modeling and Assimilation Office, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt
Kug J.-S.
Park J.-Y.
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机构:
Korea Institute of Ocean Science and TechnologyGlobal Modeling and Assimilation Office, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt
Park J.-Y.
Jin F.-F.
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机构:
Department of Meteorology, University of Hawaii, HonoluluGlobal Modeling and Assimilation Office, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt
机构:
Japan Agcy Marine Earth Sci & Technol, Applicat Lab, Res Inst Value Added Informat Generat, Yokohama, Kanagawa, JapanJapan Agcy Marine Earth Sci & Technol, Applicat Lab, Res Inst Value Added Informat Generat, Yokohama, Kanagawa, Japan
Richter, Ingo
Tokinaga, Hiroki
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Kyushu Univ, Res Inst Appl Mech, Kasuga, JapanJapan Agcy Marine Earth Sci & Technol, Applicat Lab, Res Inst Value Added Informat Generat, Yokohama, Kanagawa, Japan
Tokinaga, Hiroki
Kosaka, Yu
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Univ Tokyo, Res Ctr Adv Sci & Technol, Tokyo, JapanJapan Agcy Marine Earth Sci & Technol, Applicat Lab, Res Inst Value Added Informat Generat, Yokohama, Kanagawa, Japan
Kosaka, Yu
Doi, Takeshi
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Japan Agcy Marine Earth Sci & Technol, Applicat Lab, Res Inst Value Added Informat Generat, Yokohama, Kanagawa, JapanJapan Agcy Marine Earth Sci & Technol, Applicat Lab, Res Inst Value Added Informat Generat, Yokohama, Kanagawa, Japan
Doi, Takeshi
Kataoka, Takahito
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机构:
Japan Agcy Marine Earth Sci & Technol, Res Ctr Environm Modeling & Applicat, Yokohama, Kanagawa, JapanJapan Agcy Marine Earth Sci & Technol, Applicat Lab, Res Inst Value Added Informat Generat, Yokohama, Kanagawa, Japan
机构:
Chinese Acad Sci, S China Sea Inst Oceanol, Key Lab Trop Marine Environm Dynam, Guangzhou 510301, Guangdong, Peoples R China
City Univ Hong Kong, Sch Energy & Environm, Guy Carpenter Asia Pacific Climate Impact Ctr, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R ChinaChinese Acad Sci, S China Sea Inst Oceanol, Key Lab Trop Marine Environm Dynam, Guangzhou 510301, Guangdong, Peoples R China
Wang, Xin
Wang, Chunzai
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机构:
NOAA, Atlantic Oceanog & Meteorol Lab, Miami, FL 33149 USAChinese Acad Sci, S China Sea Inst Oceanol, Key Lab Trop Marine Environm Dynam, Guangzhou 510301, Guangdong, Peoples R China
Wang, Chunzai
Zhou, Wen
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City Univ Hong Kong, Sch Energy & Environm, Guy Carpenter Asia Pacific Climate Impact Ctr, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R ChinaChinese Acad Sci, S China Sea Inst Oceanol, Key Lab Trop Marine Environm Dynam, Guangzhou 510301, Guangdong, Peoples R China
Zhou, Wen
Wang, Dongxiao
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Chinese Acad Sci, S China Sea Inst Oceanol, Key Lab Trop Marine Environm Dynam, Guangzhou 510301, Guangdong, Peoples R ChinaChinese Acad Sci, S China Sea Inst Oceanol, Key Lab Trop Marine Environm Dynam, Guangzhou 510301, Guangdong, Peoples R China
Wang, Dongxiao
Song, Jie
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机构:
Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, LASG, Beijing 100029, Peoples R ChinaChinese Acad Sci, S China Sea Inst Oceanol, Key Lab Trop Marine Environm Dynam, Guangzhou 510301, Guangdong, Peoples R China