Impacts of climate change on the agricultural zoning of climate risk for cotton cultivation in Brazil

被引：20

作者：

Assad, Eduardo Delgado ^{[1
]}

Martins, Susian Christian ^{[1
]}

de Macedo Beltrao, Napoleao Esberard ^{[2
]}

Pinto, Hilton Silveira ^{[3
]}

机构：

[1] Embrapa Informat Agr, BR-13083886 Campinas, SP, Brazil

[2] Embrapa Algodao, BR-58107720 Campina Grande, PB, Brazil

[3] Univ Estadual Campinas, Ctr Pesquisas Meteorol & Climat Aplicadas Agr, BR-13083970 Campinas, SP, Brazil

来源：

PESQUISA AGROPECUARIA BRASILEIRA | 2013年 / 48卷 / 01期

关键词：

Gossypium hirsutum; evapotranspiration; global warming; CROP; TEMPERATURES; RAINFALL; REGION; SYSTEM; YIELD;

D O I：

10.1590/S0100-204X2013000100001

中图分类号：

S [农业科学];

学科分类号：

09 ;

摘要：

The objective of this work was to evaluate the effect of the temperature increase forecasted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) on agricultural zoning of cotton production in Brazil. The Northeastern region showed the highest decrease in the low-risk area for cotton cultivation due to the projected temperature increase. This area in the Brazilian Northeast may decrease from 83 million ha in 2010 to approximately 71 million ha in 2040, which means 15% reduction in 30 years. Southeastern and Center-Western regions had small decrease in areas suitable for cotton production until 2040, while the Northern region showed no reduction in these areas. Temperature increase will not benefit cotton cultivation in Brazil because dimension of low-risk areas for economic cotton production may decrease.

引用

页码：1 / 8

页数：8

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