Bayesian sequential testing with expectation constraints

被引:1
|
作者
Ankirchner, Stefan [1 ]
Klein, Maike [2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Jena, Inst Math, Ernst Abbe Pl 2, D-07743 Jena, Germany
[2] TU Wien, Inst Stat & Math Methods Econ, Wiedner Hauptstr 8 E105-1 & 5 FAM, A-1040 Vienna, Austria
基金
奥地利科学基金会;
关键词
Bayesian sequential testing; optimal stopping; expectation constraint;
D O I
10.1051/cocv/2019045
中图分类号
TP [自动化技术、计算机技术];
学科分类号
0812 ;
摘要
We study a stopping problem arising from a sequential testing of two simple hypotheses H-0 and H-1 on the drift rate of a Brownian motion. We impose an expectation constraint on the stopping rules allowed and show that an optimal stopping rule satisfying the constraint can be found among the rules of the following type: stop if the posterior probability for H-1 attains a given lower or upper barrier; or stop if the posterior probability comes back to a fixed intermediate point after a sufficiently large excursion. Stopping at the intermediate point means that the testing is abandoned without accepting H-0 or H-1. In contrast to the unconstrained case, optimal stopping rules, in general, cannot be found among interval exit times. Thus, optimal stopping rules in the constrained case qualitatively differ from optimal rules in the unconstrained case.
引用
收藏
页数:26
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