Are the communists dying out in Russia?

被引:9
|
作者
Kiewiet, DR [1 ]
Myagkov, MG
机构
[1] CALTECH, Pasadena, CA 91125 USA
[2] Univ Oregon, Eugene, OR 97403 USA
关键词
D O I
10.1016/S0967-067X(01)00023-X
中图分类号
D81 [国际关系];
学科分类号
030207 ;
摘要
Many predicted that the strength of the Communist Party in Russia would wane as the elderly pensioners who disproportionately supported the party died off. Contrary to this prediction, the findings of our analysis indicate that voters who reached retirement age during the past decade were even more supportive of the communists than the cohort of pensioners who preceded them. We believe this occurred because it was workers approaching retirement, not pensioners per se, who were disproportionately injured by the transition to a more market-oriented economy. Like pensioners they lost savings, but in many cases they also lost their jobs. They also had little opportunity to learn the new skills that the Russian economy increasingly calls for. There is as yet no indication that the communists have begun to die out. (C) 2002 The Regents of the University of California. Published by Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.
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页码:39 / 50
页数:12
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