A QUICK ASSESSMENT OF INPUT UNCERTAINTY

被引：0
|
作者：
Ankenman, Bruce E. [1 ]
Nelson, Barry L. [1 ]
机构：
[1] Northwestern Univ, Dept Ind Engn & Management Sci, Evanston, IL 60208 USA
来源：
2012 WINTER SIMULATION CONFERENCE (WSC) | 2012年
关键词：
SIMULATION;
D O I：
暂无
中图分类号：
TP301 [理论、方法];
学科分类号：
081202 ;
摘要：
"Input uncertainty" refers to the frequently unrecognized, and rarely quantified, impact of using simulation input distributions that are estimated or "fit" to a finite sample of real-world data. In this paper we present a relatively simple method for obtaining a quick assessment of the overall effect of input uncertainty on simulation output, and a somewhat more involved follow-up analysis that can identify the largest sources of input uncertainty. Numerical illustrations of both methods are provided.
引用
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页数：10
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