Analysis of correlation between meteorological factors and short-term load forecasting based on machine learning

被引:0
|
作者
Xu Fei [1 ]
Wu Zhigang [1 ]
机构
[1] South China Univ Technol, Sch Elect Power, Guangzhou, Guangdong, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
machine learning; similar-day; short-term load forecasting; meteorological factor;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];
学科分类号
0807 ; 0820 ;
摘要
The power system load is affected by various external factors, making the short-term load have the characteristics of uncertainty and randomness. There are many factors affecting power system load forecasting, and weather conditions have the most significant impact on load forecasting. Based on the existing literature, this paper proposes a method to analyze the correlation between single meteorological factors and system load, and then comprehensively consider the impact of all meteorological factors on system load. Considering weather, rainfall, humidity and other meteorological factors. The BP algorithm has a very strong nonlinear fitting ability and can theoretically fit any complex nonlinear mapping relationship. This paper uses Python to implement the BP algorithm considering multiple meteorological factors, and predicts the load of October in a certain area of South Network. The prediction results show that compared with the traditional input of all meteorological factors as BP model, and the correlation between meteorological factors and system analysis is not analyzed, the processing method of this paper improves the accuracy of load forecasting and accelerates the algorithm. The convergence speed and learning time are reduced, which greatly improves the efficiency and has a certain guiding effect on the application of load forecasting in the actual power grid.
引用
收藏
页码:4449 / 4454
页数:6
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] SHORT-TERM LOAD FORECASTING BY MACHINE LEARNING
    Hsu, Chung-Chian
    Chen, Xiang-Ting
    Chen, Yu-Sheng
    Chang, Arthur
    [J]. 2020 INTERNATIONAL SYMPOSIUM ON COMMUNITY-CENTRIC SYSTEMS (CCS), 2020,
  • [2] Short-term Load Forecasting of Electric Power System Based On Meteorological Factors
    Liu, Jing
    [J]. PROCEEDINGS OF THE6TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON MECHATRONICS, MATERIALS, BIOTECHNOLOGY AND ENVIRONMENT (ICMMBE 2016), 2016, 83 : 195 - 200
  • [3] Machine learning techniques for short-term load forecasting
    Becirovic, Elvisa
    Cosovic, Marijana
    [J]. PROCEEDINGS OF THE 2016 4TH INTERNATIONAL SYMPOSIUM ON ENVIRONMENTAL FRIENDLY ENERGIES AND APPLICATIONS (EFEA), 2016,
  • [4] Short-Term Electricity Load Forecasting with Machine Learning
    Madrid, Ernesto Aguilar
    Antonio, Nuno
    [J]. INFORMATION, 2021, 12 (02) : 1 - 21
  • [5] Machine-Learning based methods in short-term load forecasting
    Guo, Weilin
    Che, Liang
    Shahidehpour, Mohammad
    Wan, Xin
    [J]. Electricity Journal, 2021, 34 (01):
  • [6] Short-term nodal load forecasting based on machine learning techniques
    Lu, Dan
    Zhao, Dongbo
    Li, Zuyi
    [J]. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS ON ELECTRICAL ENERGY SYSTEMS, 2021, 31 (09)
  • [7] Short-Term Load Forecasting Based on Improved Extreme Learning Machine
    Li, Jie
    Song, Zhongyou
    Zhong, Yuanhong
    Zhang, Zhaoyuan
    Li, Jianhong
    [J]. 2017 IEEE 2ND INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON BIG DATA ANALYSIS (ICBDA), 2017, : 584 - 588
  • [8] Machine Learning-Based Short-Term Composite Load Forecasting
    Tomasevic, Dzenana
    Konjic, Tatjana
    [J]. 2023 IEEE BELGRADE POWERTECH, 2023,
  • [9] Load Forecasting Based on Short-term Correlation Clustering
    Tao, Shun
    Li, Yongtong
    Xiao, Xiangning
    Yao, Liting
    [J]. 2017 IEEE INNOVATIVE SMART GRID TECHNOLOGIES - ASIA (ISGT-ASIA), 2017, : 583 - 589
  • [10] Automated Machine Learning for Short-term Electric Load Forecasting
    Wang, Can
    Back, Thomas
    Hoos, Holger H.
    Baratchi, Mitra
    Limmer, Steffen
    Olhofer, Markus
    [J]. 2019 IEEE SYMPOSIUM SERIES ON COMPUTATIONAL INTELLIGENCE (IEEE SSCI 2019), 2019, : 314 - 321