An analytical evaluation of Top-Down versus Bottom-Up forecast in the electricity demand

被引：0

作者：

Chin, Hiroshi ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Tokyo, Grad Sch Engn, Dept Technol Management Innovat, Bunkyo Ku, 214-3 7-3-1 Hongo, Tokyo 1138656, Japan

来源：

2016 IEEE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON CONSUMER ELECTRONICS-TAIWAN (ICCE-TW) | 2016年

关键词：

Smart Grid; Digital Grid; Demand Forecast; Bottom-up; Top-down;

D O I：

暂无

中图分类号：

TM [电工技术]; TN [电子技术、通信技术];

学科分类号：

0808 ; 0809 ;

摘要：

Demand and supply balancing is the key technology for power management and high-efficiency planning. As the smart metering device is getting popular in the Japan, USA and EU, the more data from smart meter can be collected for the better forecast. Forecast based on the Top-Down versus Bottom-Up was a long-term discussion for various fields. We performed a short-term power demand curve forecast based on Gradient boosting machine to compare the two methods. We found that there is very slight advantage of the bottom-up method in the demand forecast just based on the demand data.

引用

页码：297 / 298

页数：2

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