Assessing solar energy potential using diurnal remote-sensing observations from Kalpana-1 VHRR and validation over the Indian landmass

A spectrally integrated clear-sky and three-layer cloudy-sky models were developed to determine atmospheric transmittances and instantaneous surface insolation. Half-hourly observations at 8 km spatial resolution in optical and thermal infrared bands from an Indian geostationary satellite (Kalpana-1) Very High Resolution Radiometer (VHRR) sensor were used to provide inputs to these models in addition to global 8 day aerosol optical depth and columnar ozone. Sensitivity analysis of the clear-sky model showed a higher influence of aerosol on global insolation, diffuse insolation, and its fraction as compared with water vapour and ozone. The root mean square error (RMSE) of insolation estimates of the daily integral was found to be 2.05 MJ m(-2) (approximate to 11.2% of measured mean) with a high correlation coefficient (r=0.93) when compared with in situ measurements during 1 August 2008 to 31 March 2010 over six locations in India. The errors were found to reduce to 7.5% over 3 to 5 day averages. The comparison of annual estimates and equivalent reanalysis fields showed a mean difference of the order of +/- 1.7 MJ m(-2) over the majority of the Indian landmass.