Probabilistic Model of Corrosion in Reinforced Concrete Structures Considering Coupling Effects of Influence Factors

A probabilistic model of the chloride-induced corrosion process is provided in this paper. Based on the Third-moment method, the uncertainty of various influence factors and the coupling effects of them are concerned. Considering the corrosion process as a statistic process, the probability of corrosion initiation at certain time can be obtained. Moreover, the effect of micro-crack in chloride ingress is taken into account, too. Due to the results of stochastic analysis, the surface chloride concentration is the most important factor that affects the corrosion probability, while the thickness of concrete cover, chloride diffusion coefficient, environmental relative humidity, critical threshold chloride concentration, micro-crack rate, water-to-cement ratio and temperature are also important factors. And the Third-moment method is proved to be reasonable in the durability assessment of corrosion-induced concrete structure. The results in this paper can be used to predict the rest life of corrosion-induced concrete structures.