Wildlife resistance and protection in a changing New England landscape

被引:3
|
作者
Pearman-Gillman, Schuyler B. [1 ,2 ]
Duveneck, Matthew J. [3 ]
Murdoch, James D. [4 ]
Donovan, Therese M. [1 ,2 ,5 ]
机构
[1] Vermont Cooperat Fish & Wildlife Res Unit, Burlington, VT 05405 USA
[2] Univ Vermont, Rubenstein Sch Environm & Nat Resources, Burlington, VT 05405 USA
[3] Harvard Univ, Harvard Forest, Petersham, MA USA
[4] Univ Vermont, Rubenstein Sch Environm & Nat Resources, Wildlife & Fisheries Biol Program, Burlington, VT USA
[5] US Geol Survey, Burlington, VT 05401 USA
来源
PLOS ONE | 2020年 / 15卷 / 09期
基金
美国国家科学基金会; 美国食品与农业研究所;
关键词
CLIMATE-CHANGE; UNITED-STATES; RESILIENCE; ECOSYSTEM; VULNERABILITY; BIODIVERSITY; DYNAMICS; IMPACTS; DESIGN; MODEL;
D O I
10.1371/journal.pone.0239525
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Rapid changes in climate and land use threaten the persistence of wildlife species. Understanding where species are likely to occur now and in the future can help identify areas that are resistant to change over time and guide conservation planning. We estimated changes in species distribution patterns and spatial resistance in five future scenarios for the New England region of the northeastern United States. We present scenario-specific distribution change maps for nine harvested wildlife species, identifying regions of increasing, decreasing, or stable habitat suitability within each scenario. Next, we isolated areas where species occurrence probability is high (p > 0.7) and resistant to change across all future scenarios. Resistance was also evaluated relative to current land protection to identify patterns in and out of Protected Areas (PAs). Generally, species distributions declined in area over the 50-year assessment period (2010-2060), with the greatest average declines occurring for moose (-40.9%) and wild turkey (-22.1%). Species resistance varied considerably across the region, with coyote demonstrating the highest average regional resistance (91.81% of the region) and moose demonstrating the lowest (0.76% of the region). At the state level, average focal species resistance was highest in Maine (the largest state) and lowest in Massachusetts. Many of the focal species showed high overlap in resistance and land protection. Coyote, white-tailed deer, and black bear had the highest probability of resistance, given protection, while moose and wild turkey had the highest probability of protection, given resistance. Overall, relatively small portions of New England-ranging between 0.25% and 21.12%-were both protected and resistant for the focal species. Our results provide estimates of resistance that can inform conservation planning for commonly harvested species that are important ecologically, economically, and culturally to the region. Expanding protected area coverage to include resistant areas may provide longer term benefits to these species.
引用
收藏
页数:22
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] Wildlife dynamics in the changing New England landscape
    Foster, DR
    Motzkin, G
    Bernardos, D
    Cardoza, J
    [J]. JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY, 2002, 29 (10-11) : 1337 - 1357
  • [2] The changing landscape of antimicrobial resistance in New Zealand
    Williamson, Deborah A.
    Heffernan, Helen
    [J]. NEW ZEALAND MEDICAL JOURNAL, 2014, 127 (1403) : 41 - 54
  • [3] The Changing Landscape of Maritime Resources in Seventeenth-Century New England
    Leavenworth, William B.
    [J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF MARITIME HISTORY, 2008, 20 (01) : 33 - +
  • [4] Drivers and Consequences of Alternative Landscape Futures on Wildlife Distributions in New England, United States
    Pearman-Gillman, Schuyler B.
    Duveneck, Matthew J.
    Murdoch, James D.
    Donovan, Therese M.
    [J]. FRONTIERS IN ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION, 2020, 8
  • [5] Visual Simulations of forest wildlife habitat structure, change, and landscape context in new England
    DeGraaf, Richard M.
    Lester, Anna M.
    Yamasaki, Mariko
    Leak, William B.
    [J]. NORTHERN JOURNAL OF APPLIED FORESTRY, 2007, 24 (03): : 218 - 226
  • [6] Changing New England
    Lancaster, Lane W.
    [J]. ANNALS OF THE AMERICAN ACADEMY OF POLITICAL AND SOCIAL SCIENCE, 1930, 149 : 211 - 211
  • [7] New US wildlife protection device
    不详
    [J]. AUSTRALIAN VETERINARY JOURNAL, 2001, 79 (02) : 78 - 78
  • [9] A Landscape History of New England
    Zamanian, Ramin
    [J]. JOURNAL OF CULTURAL GEOGRAPHY, 2012, 29 (03) : 362 - 364
  • [10] A Landscape History of New England
    Morse, Cheryl
    [J]. JOURNAL OF HISTORICAL GEOGRAPHY, 2013, 40 : 109 - 110