PeatFire: an agent-based model to simulate fire ignition and spreading in a tropical peatland ecosystem

被引:11
|
作者
Widyastuti, Kirana [1 ]
Imron, Muhammad Ali [2 ]
Pradopo, Subyantoro Tri [3 ]
Suryatmojo, Hatma [2 ]
Sopha, Bertha Maya [4 ]
Spessa, Allan [5 ]
Berger, Uta [1 ]
机构
[1] Tech Univ Dresden, Inst Forest Growth & Forest Comp Sci, Pienner Str 8, D-01737 Tharandt, Germany
[2] Univ Gadjah Mada, Fac Forestry, Jalan Agro 1 Bulaksumur, Yogyakarta 55281, Indonesia
[3] Univ Gadjah Mada, Fac Geog, Jalan Kaliurang, Sekip Utara Bulaksumur 55281, Yogyakarta, Indonesia
[4] Univ Gadjah Mada, Fac Engn, Jalan Grafika 2, Yogyakarta 55281, Indonesia
[5] Swansea Univ, Coll Sci, Dept Geog, Singleton Pk, Swansea SA2 8PP, W Glam, Wales
关键词
agent-based model; burnt area; degraded habitat; Indonesia; peatland; tropical peat fire; watertable depth; wildlife reserve; INDIVIDUAL-BASED MODEL; WATER-TABLE DEPTH; CENTRAL KALIMANTAN; SMOLDERING COMBUSTION; SWAMP FOREST; LAND-USE; SENSITIVITY-ANALYSIS; PHYSICAL-PROPERTIES; SPECTRAL INDEXES; POPULATION;
D O I
10.1071/WF19213
中图分类号
S7 [林业];
学科分类号
0829 ; 0907 ;
摘要
The increased frequency and spread of tropical peat fires over the last two decades have attracted global attention because they cause significant environmental and health impacts at local to global scales. To understand the relative importance of key factors controlling tropical peatland burning events, we developed PeatFire, an agent-based model simulating the interaction between human-induced ignitions, fire and peat characteristics. The model describes (1) above- and belowground fires, which spread independently but interact with each other; (2) above- and belowground biomass; and (3) the watertable determining peat dryness and susceptibility to fire. We applied PeatFire to a region in South Sumatra that has experienced profound natural rainforest loss due to peat fires. Sensitivity analysis of the model suggests that fire sizes depend mostly on watertable depth, peat-dry-index and number of dry days before ignition. Using pattern-oriented modelling, these factors were parameterised so that the model output matches spatiotemporal fire patterns observed in the study region in 2015. Our results emphasise the risk of a sudden shift from moderate fire occurrence to complete burning and highlight the importance of local context to peatland regulation, which should consider both biophysical and socioeconomic factors and strategies for peatland fire management.
引用
收藏
页码:71 / 89
页数:19
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