Early Warning Methods of Real Estate Bubbles-Empirical Research Based on Binary Response Model

被引：0
|
作者：
Cui, Ying [1 ]
Qu, Shiyou [1 ]
机构：
[1] Harbin Inst Technol, Sch Management, Harbin 150001, Peoples R China
来源：
PROCEEDINGS OF 2011 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON CONSTRUCTION AND REAL ESTATE MANAGEMENT, VOLS 1 AND 2 | 2011年
关键词：
real estate bubbles; early warning model; binary response model;
D O I：
暂无
中图分类号：
C93 [管理学];
学科分类号：
12 ; 1201 ; 1202 ; 120202 ;
摘要：
Binary response model was applied to the real estate bubble early warning. Based on the real estate data of Beijing during 1990-2010, selected the price-income ratio and the vacancy rate of commercial housing and other indicators this paper established the early warning model of real estate bubbles. The result of the empirical research about Shanghai, Shenzhen real estate markets validated the accuracy of the model predictions. In reality, this model could be used to the guard the production of real estate bubbles to achieve the aim of reducing risks of real estate markets.
引用
收藏
页码：648 / 651
页数：4
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