Optimal Selection of Desalination Systems using Fuzzy AHP and Grey Relational Analysis

Water scarcity is an alarming global problem for a growing population with depleting sources of fresh water. Desalination is thus becoming an important solution for water management to address such looming shortage of the municipal water supply. At present, several technologies dominate the desalination industry which can be categorized either as a thermal process such as multi-stage flash distillation or a membrane process such as that of reverse osmosis. New desalination systems are also being developed to make the process more cost-effective and energy efficient. Hence, this work proposes a systematic approach for optimal selection of desalination systems using fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (FAHP) and grey relational analysis (GRA). Fuzzy AHP addresses the vagueness involve in the trade-off of the criteria or attributes used in evaluating the alternatives. On the other hand, the GRA solves the multiple criteria decision problem by aggregating the entire range of performance attribute values for every alternative into a single score in spite of incomplete information. An illustrative case study was presented wherein five desalination systems namely reverse osmosis (RO), combined reverse osmosis and forward osmosis (RO-FO), electrodialysis (ED), multi-stage flash distillation (MSF), and combined forward osmosis and membrane distillation (FO-MD) were evaluated. These desalination systems were compared to each other with respect to energy requirement, land footprint, system efficiency, economic viability, and maturity of technology. Sensitivity analysis was also done to determine the robustness of the modeling results from the variation of weights of the criteria.