Costs of misspecification in break-model unit-root tests

被引:0
|
作者
Maican, Florin G. [1 ,2 ]
Sweeney, Richard J. [3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Gothenburg, SE-40530 Gothenburg, Sweden
[2] Res Inst Ind Econ IFN, SE-40530 Gothenburg, Sweden
[3] Georgetown Univ, McDonough Sch Business, Washington, DC 20057 USA
关键词
unit root; Monte Carlo; break models; OIL-PRICE SHOCK; GREAT CRASH; HYPOTHESIS;
D O I
10.1080/00036846.2013.831171
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
This article examines power issues for the ADF and four break models (Perron, 1989; Zivot and Andrews, 1992) when the DGP corresponds to one of the break models. Choosing to test an incorrect break model can, but need not, greatly reduce the probability of rejecting the null. Break points that are relatively early in the sample period have substantial effects of increasing power. For modest shifts in time trends, simply including a time trend without shift in the model preserves power, but not for large time-trend shifts.
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页码:111 / 118
页数:8
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