Application of the Bayesian approach for derivation of PDFs for concentration ratio values

被引:11
|
作者
Hosseini, A. [1 ]
Stenberg, K. [2 ]
Avila, R. [2 ]
Beresford, N. A. [3 ]
Brown, J. E. [1 ]
机构
[1] Norwegian Radiat Protect Author, Dept Emergency Preparedness & Environm Radioact, NO-1332 Osteras, Norway
[2] Facilia AB, S-16751 Bromma, Sweden
[3] Lancaster Environm Ctr, CEH Lancaster, Ctr Ecol & Hydrol, Lancaster LA1 4AP, England
基金
欧盟第七框架计划;
关键词
Concentration ratio; Bayesian updating; Pooling data; Transfer parameters; DEFAULT CONCENTRATION RATIOS; TRANSFER PARAMETERS; ERICA TOOL;
D O I
10.1016/j.jenvrad.2013.04.007
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Concentration ratios (CRs) are used to derive activity concentrations in wild plants and animals. Usually, compilations of CR values encompass a wide range of element-organism combinations, extracted from different studies with statistical information reported at varying degrees of detail. To produce a more robust estimation of distribution parameters, data from different studies are normally pooled using classical statistical methods. However, there is inherent subjectivity involved in pooling CR data in the sense that there is a tacit assumption that the CRs under any arbitrarily defined biota category belong to the same population. Here, Bayesian inference has been introduced as an alternative way of making estimates of distribution parameters of CRs. This approach, in contrast to classical methods, is more flexible and also allows us to define the various assumptions required, when combining data, in a more explicit manner. Taking selected data from the recently compiled wildlife transfer database (http://www.wildlifetransferdatabase.org/) as a working example, attempts are made to refine the pooling approaches previously used and to consider situations when empirical data are limited. (C) 2013 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:376 / 387
页数:12
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