Framing effects and risky decisions in starlings

被引:98
|
作者
Marsh, B
Kacelnik, A
机构
[1] Univ Oxford, Dept Zool, Oxford OX1 3PS, England
[2] Wissenschaftskolleg Berlin, D-14193 Berlin, Germany
关键词
D O I
10.1073/pnas.042491999
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Animals; are predominantly risk prone toward reward delays and risk averse toward reward amounts. Humans in turn tend to be risk-seeking for losses and risk averse for gains. To explain the human results, Prospect Theory postulates a convex utility for losses and concave utility for gains. In contrast, Scalar Utility Theory (SUT) explains the animal data by postulating that the cognitive representation of outcomes follows Weber's Law, namely that the spread of the distribution of expected outcomes is proportional to its mean. SLIT also would explain human results if utility (even if it is linear on expected outcome) followed Weber's Law, We present an experiment that simulates losses and gains in a bird, the European Starling, to test the implication of SLIT that risk proneness/aversion should extend to any aversive/desirable dimension other than time and amount of reward. Losses and gains were simulated by offering choices of fixed vs. variable outcomes with lower or higher outcomes than what the birds expected. The subjects were significantly more risk prone for losses than for gains but, against expectations, they were not significantly risk averse toward gains. The results are thus, in part, consistent with Prospect Theory and SUIT and show that risk attitude in humans and birds may obey a common fundamental principle.
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页码:3352 / 3355
页数:4
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