Mixed-frequency VAR models with Markov-switching dynamics

被引:12
|
作者
Camacho, Maximo [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Murcia, Fac Econ & Empresa, Dept Metodos Cuantitat Econ & Empresa, Murcia 30100, Spain
关键词
Business cycles; Output growth; Time series; LEADING INDICATORS LEAD; COINCIDENT INDEX; BUSINESS-CYCLE; SERIES;
D O I
10.1016/j.econlet.2013.09.010
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
This paper extends the Markov-switching vector autoregressive models to accommodate both the typical lack of synchronicity that characterizes the real-time daily flow of macroeconomic information and economic indicators sampled at different frequencies. The results of the empirical application suggest that the model is able to capture the features of the NBER business cycle chronology very accurately. (C) 2013 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:369 / 373
页数:5
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] Markov-switching mixed-frequency VAR models
    Foroni, Claudia
    Guerin, Pierre
    Marcellino, Massimiliano
    [J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FORECASTING, 2015, 31 (03) : 692 - 711
  • [2] UNCERTAINTY THROUGH THE LENSES OF A MIXED-FREQUENCY BAYESIAN PANEL MARKOV-SWITCHING MODEL
    Casarin, Roberto
    Foroni, Claudia
    Marcellino, Massimiliano
    Ravazzolo, Francesco
    [J]. ANNALS OF APPLIED STATISTICS, 2018, 12 (04): : 2559 - 2586
  • [3] Moments, shocks and spillovers in Markov-switching VAR models
    Kole, Erik
    van Dijk, Dick
    [J]. JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS, 2023, 236 (02)
  • [4] Impulse response functions in Markov-Switching structural VAR models
    Karame, Frederic
    [J]. REVUE D ECONOMIE POLITIQUE, 2012, 122 (06): : 851 - 865
  • [5] ANALYSIS OF THE LIKELIHOOD FUNCTION FOR MARKOV-SWITCHING VAR(CH) MODELS
    Cavicchioli, Maddalena
    [J]. JOURNAL OF TIME SERIES ANALYSIS, 2014, 35 (06) : 624 - 639
  • [6] The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty in Predicting US Recessions: A Mixed-frequency Markov-switching Vector Autoregressive Approach
    Balcilar, Mehmet
    Gupta, Rangan
    Segnon, Mawuli
    [J]. ECONOMICS-THE OPEN ACCESS OPEN-ASSESSMENT E-JOURNAL, 2016, 10
  • [7] Asymmetries and Markov-switching structural VAR
    Karame, Frederic
    [J]. JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC DYNAMICS & CONTROL, 2015, 53 : 85 - 102
  • [8] Markov-Switching MIDAS Models
    Guerin, Pierre
    Marcellino, Massimiliano
    [J]. JOURNAL OF BUSINESS & ECONOMIC STATISTICS, 2013, 31 (01) : 45 - 56
  • [9] Markov-switching ARCH models
    Francq, C
    Roussignol, M
    Zakoïan, JM
    [J]. COMPTES RENDUS DE L ACADEMIE DES SCIENCES SERIE I-MATHEMATIQUE, 2000, 330 (10): : 921 - 924
  • [10] Marginal distribution of Markov-switching VAR processes
    Fiorentini, Gabriele
    Planas, Christophe
    Rossi, Alessandro
    [J]. COMMUNICATIONS IN STATISTICS-THEORY AND METHODS, 2017, 46 (13) : 6605 - 6623