The Impact of Pre-exposure Prophylaxis for Human Immunodeficiency Virus on Gonorrhea Prevalence

被引:3
|
作者
Pharaon, Joe [1 ]
Bauch, Chris T. [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Waterloo, Dept Appl Math, 200 Univ Ave West, Waterloo, ON N2L 3G1, Canada
基金
加拿大自然科学与工程研究理事会; 加拿大创新基金会;
关键词
Mathematical model; HIV; Gonorrhea; Prophylaxis; Infectious disease epidemiology; Compartmental model; HIV-INFECTION; SAN-FRANCISCO; TRANSMISSION; MODEL; MEN; PREVENTION; DYNAMICS; SPREAD; SEX; MSM;
D O I
10.1007/s11538-020-00762-7
中图分类号
Q [生物科学];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) has been shown to be highly effective in reducing the risk of HIV infection in gay and bisexual men who have sex with men (GbMSM). However, PrEP does not protect against other sexually transmitted infections (STIs). In some populations, PrEP has also led to riskier behavior such as reduced condom usage, with the result that the prevalence of bacterial STIs like gonorrhea has increased. Here, we develop a compartmental model of the transmission of HIV and gonorrhea and the impacts of PrEP, condom usage, STI testing frequency and potential changes in sexual risk behavior stemming from the introduction of PrEP in a population of GbMSM. We find that introducing PrEP causes an increase in gonorrhea prevalence for a wide range of parameter values, including at the currently recommended frequency of STI testing once every three months for individuals on PrEP. Moreover, the model predicts that a higher STI testing frequency alone is not enough to prevent a rise in gonorrhea prevalence, unless the testing frequency is increased to impractical levels. However, testing every 2 months in combination with a 10-25 % reduction in risky behavior by individuals on PrEP would maintain gonorrhea prevalence at pre-PrEP levels. The results emphasize that programs making PrEP more available should be accompanied by efforts to support condom usage and frequent STI testing, in order to avoid an increase in the prevalence of gonorrhea and other bacterial STIs.
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页数:19
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