Flexible yet fair: blinding analyses in experimental psychology

被引:17
|
作者
Dutilh, Gilles [1 ]
Sarafoglou, Alexandra [2 ]
Wagenmakers, Eric-Jan [2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Basel Hosp, Basel, Switzerland
[2] Univ Amsterdam, Dept Psychol, Psychol Methods Grp, Nieuwe Achtergracht 129B, NL-1018 XE Amsterdam, Netherlands
关键词
Replication crisis; Scientific learning; Preregistration; REGISTERED-REPORTS; SOCIAL-PSYCHOLOGY; REPLICATION; TRANSPARENT; EXPLANATION; TRIALS;
D O I
10.1007/s11229-019-02456-7
中图分类号
N09 [自然科学史]; B [哲学、宗教];
学科分类号
01 ; 0101 ; 010108 ; 060207 ; 060305 ; 0712 ;
摘要
The replicability of findings in experimental psychology can be improved by distinguishing sharply between hypothesis-generating research and hypothesis-testing research. This distinction can be achieved by preregistration, a method that has recently attracted widespread attention. Although preregistration is fair in the sense that it inoculates researchers against hindsight bias and confirmation bias, preregistration does not allow researchers to analyze the data flexibly without the analysis being demoted to exploratory. To alleviate this concern we discuss how researchers may conduct blinded analyses (MacCoun and Perlmutter in Nature 526:187-189, 2015). As with preregistration, blinded analyses break the feedback loop between the analysis plan and analysis outcome, thereby preventing cherry-picking and significance seeking. However, blinded analyses retain the flexibility to account for unexpected peculiarities in the data. We discuss different methods of blinding, offer recommendations for blinding of popular experimental designs, and introduce the design for an online blinding protocol.
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页码:5745 / 5772
页数:28
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