Evaluating the role of resilience in reducing economic losses from disasters: A multi-regional analysis of a seaport disruption

被引:24
|
作者
Wei, Dan [1 ]
Chen, Zhenhua [2 ]
Rose, Adam [3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Southern Calif, Ctr Risk & Econ Anal Terrorism Events, Sol Price Sch Publ Policy, 379C VKC,3518 Trousdale Pkwy, Los Angeles, CA 90089 USA
[2] Ohio State Univ, Knowlton Sch Architecture, City & Reg Planning, 275 W Woodruff Ave, Columbus, OH 43210 USA
[3] Univ Southern Calif, Ctr Risk & Econ Anal Terrorism Events, Sol Price Sch Publ Policy, 1150 S Olive St,Suite 1700, Los Angeles, CA 90015 USA
关键词
computable general equilibrium analysis; economic consequence analysis; port disruptions; resilience to disasters; spatial reallocation of resources; CONSEQUENCES; IMPACTS; RECOVERY; SHUTDOWN; ANGELES; SYSTEM; COSTS; MODEL; RISK; US;
D O I
10.1111/pirs.12553
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Models to estimate economic impacts of disasters have recently been augmented to include resilience. However, most research has incorporated only a limited set of resilience tactics and has not estimated their individual loss reduction effect. We present a comprehensive framework for estimating the relative effects of a broad set of post-disaster resilience tactics. Our methodological innovation is illustrated by adapting the TERM multi-regional CGE model for a seaport disruption, distinguishing inherent resilience working through the price system from adaptive resilience and other inherent tactics to cope with input shortages. We also overcome a path-dependency problem in the modelling process.
引用
收藏
页码:1691 / 1722
页数:32
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