Network model-based analysis of the goals, targets and indicators of sustainable development for strategic environmental assessment

被引:45
|
作者
Sebestyen, Viktor [1 ]
Bulla, Miklos [2 ]
Redey, Akos [3 ]
Abonyi, Janos [4 ]
机构
[1] Univ Pannonia, Inst Environm Engn, 10 Egyet St, H-8200 Veszprem, Hungary
[2] NEC Corp Ltd, Budapest, Hungary
[3] Univ Pannonia, Inst Environm Engn, Veszprem, Hungary
[4] Univ Pannonia, MTA PE Lendulet Complex Syst Monitoring Res Grp, Veszprem, Hungary
关键词
Strategic environmental assessment; Network model; Sustainability goals; Environmental modelling; Complex environmental model; TRADE-OFFS; PATHWAYS; SYNERGIES; INSIGHTS; NEXUS;
D O I
10.1016/j.jenvman.2019.02.096
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Strategic environmental assessment is a decision support technique that evaluates policies, plans and programs in addition to identifying the most appropriate interventions in different scenarios. This work develops a network-based model to study interlinked ecological, economic, environmental and social problems to highlight the synergies between policies, plans, and programs in environmental strategic planning. Our primary goal is to propose a methodology for the data-driven verification and extension of expert knowledge concerning the interconnectedness of the sustainable development goals and their related targets. A multilayer network model based on the time-series indicators of the World Bank open data over the last 55 years was assembled. The results illustrate that by providing an objective and data-driven view of the correlated variables of the World Bank, the proposed layered multipartite network model highlights the previously not discussed interconnections, node centrality measures evaluate the importance of the targets, and network community detection algorithms reveal their strongly connected groups. The results confirm that the proposed methodology can serve as a data-driven decision support tool for the preparation and monitoring of long-term environmental policies. The developed new data-driven network model enables multi-level analysis of the sustainability (goals, targets, indicators) and will make it possible to plan long-term environmental strategic planning. Through relationships among indicators, relationships among targets and goals can be modelled. The results show that sustainable development goals are strongly interconnected, while the 5th goal (gender equality) is linked mostly to 17th (partnerships for the goals) goal. The analysis has also highlighted the importance of the 4th (quality education).
引用
收藏
页码:126 / 135
页数:10
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