Sovereign public debt crisis in Europe. A network analysis

被引:11
|
作者
Matesanz, David [1 ]
Ortega, Guillermo J. [2 ,3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Oviedo, Appl Econ Dept, Oviedo 33003, Spain
[2] Univ Nacl Quilmes, Sci & Technol Dept, RA-1876 Buenos Aires, DF, Argentina
[3] Consejo Nacl Invest Cient & Tecn, RA-1876 Buenos Aires, DF, Argentina
关键词
Correlation networks; European debt crisis; Network stability; Communities; GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS; HIERARCHICAL STRUCTURE; COMPLEX NETWORKS; MARKET; CONTAGION; ECONOMY; UNION;
D O I
10.1016/j.physa.2015.05.052
中图分类号
O4 [物理学];
学科分类号
0702 ;
摘要
In this paper we analyse the evolving network structure of the quarterly public debt-to-GDP ratio from 2000 to 2014. By applying tools and concepts coming from complex systems we study the effects of the global financial crisis over public debt network connections and communities. Two main results arise from this analysis: firstly, countries public debts tend to synchronize their evolution, increasing global connectivity in the network and dramatically decreasing the number of communities. Secondly, a disruption in previous structure is observed at the time of the shock, emerging a more centralized and less diversify network topological organization which might be more prone to suffer contagion effects. This last fact is evidenced by an increasing tendency in countries of similar level of public debt to be connected between them, which we have quantified by the network assortativity. (C) 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
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页码:756 / 766
页数:11
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