Patient reported outcomes and performance metrics at diagnosis of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis

Background: Relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) usually evolves into secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS). Recognition of SPMS is important because of prognostic and treatment implications. Objective: The objective of this study is to determine distributions of patient-reported outcomes (PROs) and the Timed 25-Foot Walk (T25FW) at SPMS diagnosis and describe the evolution of these metrics in patients with SPMS. Methods: A tertiary MS center clinical database was queried to identify patients with RRMS and SPMS. PRO data including performance scales (PS), Patient Health Questionnaire-9 (PHQ-9), European Quality of Life-5-Dimensions (EQ-5D), and the T25FW were extracted. Descriptive statistics were calculated at SPMS diagnosis, and score trajectories were modeled. Cox proportional hazards modeling was used to estimate hazard ratios for time to SPMS diagnosis. Results: Among 5,558 patients identified, 164 were diagnosed with SPMS between January 2008 and June 2016. At SPMS diagnosis, the mean outcome values were T25FW = 12.5 seconds (standard deviation, SD = 10.7), PS = 15.6 (SD = 6.5), PHQ-9 = 6.8 (SD = 4.2), and EQ-5D = 0.63 (SD = 0.20). Distinct patterns were observed in the measures leading up to SPMS diagnosis. Higher age, male gender, longer disease duration, and greater disability were associated with an increased hazard of SPMS diagnosis. Conclusion: Longitudinal monitoring of PROs and performance metrics may help identify those at higher risk of near-term SPMS.