MONETARY-POLICY SHOCKS;
OIL PRICE SHOCKS;
EXCHANGE-RATE;
TECHNOLOGY SHOCKS;
INTERNATIONAL TRANSMISSION;
AGNOSTIC IDENTIFICATION;
CAPITAL INFLOWS;
SUPPLY SHOCKS;
ASSET PRICES;
REAL;
D O I:
10.1016/j.jimonfin.2020.102250
中图分类号:
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号:
0202 ;
摘要:
This paper discusses the problems associated with using information about the signs of certain magnitudes as a basis for drawing structural conclusions in vector autoregressions. We also review available tools to solve these problems. For illustration we use Dahlhaus and Vasishtha's (2019) study of the effects of a U.S. monetary contraction on capital flows to emerging markets. We explain why sign restrictions alone are not enough to allow us to answer the question and suggest alternative approaches that could be used. (C) 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
机构:
Fed Reserve Bank Philadelphia, Philadelphia, PA 19106 USAFed Reserve Bank Philadelphia, Philadelphia, PA 19106 USA
Arias, Jonas E.
Rubio-Ramirez, Juan F.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Emory Univ, Dept Econ, Atlanta, GA 30322 USA
BBVA Res, Atlanta, GA USA
Fed Reserve Bank Atlanta, Atlanta, GA USAFed Reserve Bank Philadelphia, Philadelphia, PA 19106 USA
Rubio-Ramirez, Juan F.
Waggoner, Daniel F.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Fed Reserve Bank Atlanta, Atlanta, GA USAFed Reserve Bank Philadelphia, Philadelphia, PA 19106 USA
机构:
Columbia Univ, Dept Econ, New York, NY 10027 USAColumbia Univ, Dept Econ, New York, NY 10027 USA
Olea, Jose L. Montiel
Stock, James H.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Harvard Univ, Dept Econ, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA
Natl Bur Econ Res, Cambridge, MA 02138 USAColumbia Univ, Dept Econ, New York, NY 10027 USA
Stock, James H.
Watson, Mark W.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Natl Bur Econ Res, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA
Princeton Univ, Dept Econ, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA
Princeton Univ, Woodrow Wilson Sch, Princeton, NJ 08544 USAColumbia Univ, Dept Econ, New York, NY 10027 USA