Research on City Electric Logistics Vehicle Upgrade Based on System Dynamics

This paper focuses on the upgrading process of city electric logistics vehicles, has a certain value for electric logistics vehicles promotion, investment, application, and research direction. This paper finds some key factors affecting the city electric vehicle logistics upgrade, builds system dynamics model to explain how the key factors influence logistics enterprise to choose electric logistic vehicles or fuel ones, and simulates the Beijing electric logistic vehicles upgrade process. The paper conducts the sensitivity analysis on key factors of logistics vehicle cost, road open degree and battery life, which influence electric logistics promotion, and concludes that the logistics enterprises will keep certain proportion of fuel logistics vehicles and electric logistics vehicles at the same time in the future. In the promotion process, the conclusion of this paper has a certain reference value for government decision-making and corporate research direction.