Technology Forecasting: The Case of Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD)

被引：3
|
作者：
Pretorius, L. [1 ]
Benade, S. J. [1 ]
Kruger, S. [2 ]
机构：
[1] Univ Pretoria, Grad Sch Technol Management, Dept Engn & Technol Management, ZA-0002 Pretoria, South Africa
[2] Univ Pretoria, Dept Mech Engn, Pretoria, South Africa
来源：
2008 IEEE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON MANAGEMENT OF INNOVATION AND TECHNOLOGY, VOLS 1-3 | 2008年
关键词：
CFD; Bass diffusion model; bibliometric analysis; management of technology;
D O I：
10.1109/ICMIT.2008.4654328
中图分类号：
C93 [管理学];
学科分类号：
12 ; 1201 ; 1202 ; 120202 ;
摘要：
Forecasting emerging technologies as well the rate of diffusion of resultant products are complex in the context of management of technology usually because of a lack of relevant data. Techniques such as bibliometric analysis and the Bass diffusion model are utilized in this paper to assess the growth rate and market penetration of Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) as a technology. The penetration and growth rate of user acceptance of two CFD codes (not identified) are simulated. Furthermore a technology forecasting model of research and innovation in the field of application of CFD in the assessment of greenhouses is presented.
引用
收藏
页码：7 / +
页数：2
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