Testing nonlinearity of heavy-tailed time series

被引:0
|
作者
De Gooijer, Jan G. [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Amsterdam, Amsterdam Sch Econ, Amsterdam, Netherlands
[2] Univ Amsterdam, Amsterdam Sch Econ, POB 15867, NL-1001 NJ Amsterdam, Netherlands
关键词
Gini-based autocorrelation; heavy tails; nonlinear Pareto-type models; sub-sample stability; nonlinearity tests; GINI; BOOTSTRAP;
D O I
10.1080/02664763.2024.2315450
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
A test statistic for nonlinearity of a given heavy-tailed time series process is constructed, based on the sub-sample stability of Gini-based sample autocorrelations. The finite-sample performance of the proposed test is evaluated in a Monte Carlo study and compared to a similar test based on the sub-sample stability of a heavy-tailed analogue of the conventional sample autocorrelation function. In terms of size and power properties, the quality of our test outperforms a nonlinearity test for heavy-tailed time series processes proposed by [S.I. Resnick and E. Van den Berg, A test for nonlinearity of time series with infinite variance, Extremes 3 (2000), pp. 145-172.]. A nonlinear Pareto-type autoregressive process and a nonlinear Pareto-type moving average process are used as alternative specifications when comparing the power of the proposed test statistic. The efficacy of the test is illustrated via the analysis of a heavy-tailed actuarial data set and two time series of Ethernet traffic.
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页码:2672 / 2689
页数:18
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