A comprehensive review of solar irradiation estimation and forecasting using artificial neural networks: data, models and trends

被引:10
|
作者
El-Amarty, Naima [1 ]
Marzouq, Manal [2 ]
El Fadili, Hakim [2 ]
Bennani, Saad Dosse [1 ]
Ruano, Antonio [3 ,4 ]
机构
[1] Sidi Mohamed Ben Abdellah Univ, Fac Sci & Technol Fez, SIGER, POB 2202, Fes, Morocco
[2] Sidi Mohamed Ben Abdellah Univ, Fac Sci & Technol Fez, LIPI, POB 5206, Fes, Morocco
[3] Univ Algarve, Fac Sci & Technol, DEEI, P-8005294 Faro, Portugal
[4] Univ Lisbon, Inst Super Tecn, IDMEC, P-1950044 Lisbon, Portugal
关键词
Solar irradiation; Climate condition; Feature selection; ANN model; Forecasting horizon; Deep learning; EXTREME LEARNING MACHINES; RADIATION PREDICTION; FEATURE-SELECTION; METEOROLOGICAL PARAMETERS; DIFFERENT COMBINATIONS; INPUT PARAMETERS; OPTIMIZATION; GENERATION; DIFFUSE; TEMPERATURES;
D O I
10.1007/s11356-022-24240-w
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Solar irradiation data are imperatively required for any solar energy-based project. The non-accessibility and uncertainty of these data can greatly affect the implementation, management, and performance of photovoltaic or thermal systems. Developing solar irradiation estimation and forecasting approaches is an effective way to overcome these issues. Practically, prediction approaches can help anticipate events by ensuring good operation of the power network and maintaining a precise balance between the demand and supply of the power at every moment. In the literature, various estimation and forecasting methods have been developed. Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models are the most commonly used methods in solar irradiation prediction. This paper aims to firstly review, analyze, and provide an overview of different aspects required to develop an ANN model for solar irradiation prediction, such as data types, data horizon, data preprocessing, forecasting horizon, feature selection, and model type. Secondly, a highly detailed state of the art of ANN-based approaches including deep learning and hybrid ANN models for solar irradiation estimation and forecasting is presented. Finally, the factors influencing prediction model performances are discussed in order to propose recommendations, trends, and outlooks for future research in this field.
引用
收藏
页码:5407 / 5439
页数:33
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