A new design and analysis of optimal control problems arising from COVID-19 outbreak

被引:4
|
作者
Butt, Azhar Iqbal Kashif [1 ,2 ,4 ]
Chamaleen, Doremure Badalge Duresha [3 ]
Imran, Muhammad [2 ]
Batool, Saira [2 ]
Al Nuwairan, Muneerah [1 ]
机构
[1] King Faisal Univ, Coll Sci, Dept Math & Stat, Al Hasa, Saudi Arabia
[2] Govt Coll Univ, Dept Math, Lahore, Pakistan
[3] Open Univ Sri Lanka, Dept Math, Nugegoda, Sri Lanka
[4] King Faisal Univ, Coll Sci, Dept Math & Stat, POB 400, Al Hasa 31982, Saudi Arabia
关键词
COVID-19; epidemic model; existence and uniqueness; reproduction number; optimal control analysis; sensitivity; stability analysis; MATHEMATICAL-ANALYSIS; MODEL; EPIDEMIC; STRATEGY; IMPLEMENTATION; DYNAMICS; DISEASE; SPREAD;
D O I
10.1002/mma.9482
中图分类号
O29 [应用数学];
学科分类号
070104 ;
摘要
In this manuscript, we append the hospitalization, diagnosed and isolation compartments to the classic SEIR model to design a new COVID-19 epidemic model. We further subdivide the isolation compartment into asymptomatic infected and symptomatic infected compartments. For validity of the purposed model, we prove the existence of a unique solution and prove the positivity and boundedness of the solution. To study disease dynamics, we compute equilibrium points and the reproduction number R0$$ {R}_0 $$. We also investigate the local and global stabilities at both of the equilibrium points. Sensitivity analysis will be performed to observe the effect of transmission parameters on R0$$ {R}_0 $$. For optimal control analysis, we design two different optimal control problems by taking different optimal control approaches. Firstly, we add an isolation compartment in the newly designed model, and secondly, three parameters describing non-pharmaceutical behaviors such as educating people to take precautionary measures, providing intensive medical care with medication, and utilizing resources by government are added in the model. We set up optimality conditions by using Pontryagin's maximum principle and develop computing algorithms to solve the conditions numerically. At the end, numerical solutions will be displayed graphically with discussion.
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页码:16957 / 16982
页数:26
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