Applicability of the Modified Fels and Optimized Oxford Skeletal Maturity Estimation Systems to the Modern Pediatric Population

Background:The recently developed modified Fels knee and optimized Oxford hip skeletal maturity systems (SMS) have demonstrated impressive performance compared with the Greulich and Pyle skeletal age atlas when applied to the same historical, mostly white, pediatric population. We sought to determine whether these 2 systems require modification before being used in modern children. Methods:We collected knee and hip radiographs between January 2015 and September 2020 from our electronic medical record from 4 groups of children: (1) white males, (2) black males, (3) white females, and (4) black females. Males between 9 and 17 years and females between 7 and 15 years were included. After reliability analyses, 5 nonpathologic radiographs for each age and joint were randomly selected from each group and evaluated with the appropriate SMS. The mean discrepancy between each group's chronological age at the time of radiograph and estimated skeletal age was compared between our modern cohort and the historical Bolton-Brush children. After normality testing, paired t tests or Wilcoxon signed-rank tests were performed, as appropriate. A Bonferroni correction was applied to address multiple testing. Results:Three hundred sixty modern radiographs were evaluated (180 knees and 180 hips). All 7 modified Fels knee parameters and all 5 optimized Oxford hip parameters had inter and intrarater reliability coefficients >= 0.7, indicating good to very good reliability. For the modified Fels knee SMS, white males (Delta 0.74 y, P<0.001), black males (Delta 0.69 y, P<0.001), and black females (Delta 0.4 y, P=0.04) had advanced skeletal age compared with their historical counterparts of the same sex. No differences were found between historical and modern patients for the optimized Oxford hip SMS. No differences were found for either SMS comparing modern patients along racial lines (P>0.05 for all). Conclusions:Discrepancies in skeletal age estimates made by the modified Fels knee SMS exist between modern pediatric white males, black males, and black females and their historic counterparts. No differences were found when using optimized Oxford hip SMS. Future studies should evaluate how these translate to clinical decision-making.