Integrating environmental carry capacity based on pesticide risk assessment in soil management: A case study for China

Pesticides are widely used in agriculture and can pose risks to soil health and environmental quality. This study assessed the occurrence, distribution, ecological risk, and environmental carrying capacity of 56 currently used pesticides and three metabolites in agricultural soils of Horqin Left Middle Banner, a typical Northeast China agricultural area. 29 pesticides were detected, with atrazine, clothianidin, and propiconazole the most common. Clothianidin and difenoconazole were high-risk to non-target organisms according to risk-toxicity exposure ratio and risk quotient approaches. This study provides a comprehensive and improvement framework for pesticide soil environmental carrying capacity (SECC) assessment and soil quality protection early warning. The SECC model showed no pesticides surpassed the soil carrying capacity threshold under the current application pattern. Five pesticides (clothianidin, difenoconazole, propiconazole, atrazine, and imidacloprid) may reach the threshold within 10 years, requiring pesticide reduction and soil quality monitoring. An early warning system based on SECC values and cumulative amounts of pesticides predicted that clothianidin may exceed the threshold within 0.1 years. These pesticides should be prioritized for management and regulation to prevent soil environmental degradation. The findings can help inform policymakers and stakeholders on pesticide management and sustainable agricultural development in Horqin Left Middle Banner and similar regions.