Quantile connectedness between oil price shocks and exchange rates

被引:9
|
作者
Umar, Zaghum [1 ,3 ]
Bossman, Ahmed [2 ]
机构
[1] Zayed Univ, Coll Business, POB 144534, Abu Dhabi, U Arab Emirates
[2] Univ Cape Coast, Sch Business, Dept Finance, Cape Coast, Ghana
[3] South Ural State Univ, Lenin Prospect 76, Chelyabinsk 454080, Russia
关键词
Oil price shocks; Exchange rates; Quantile spillovers; Quantile connectedness; Brexit; COVID-19; Russia-Ukraine; IMPULSE-RESPONSE ANALYSIS; ECONOMIC-ACTIVITY; STOCK RETURNS; CHINA; VOLATILITY; DEMAND;
D O I
10.1016/j.resourpol.2023.103658
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Oil is an energy resource and a driver of global economic activities. The increasing need for oil amplifies its trade and places pressure on the current account balance, which causes exchange rate fluctuations. We transcend the mean-based connectedness measures to explore the oil shocks-exchange rates nexus from an asymmetric perspective. With daily data from 07-03-1996 to 22-08-2022, we analyse the quantile dynamic spillovers be-tween oil price shocks and exchange rates of oil-exporting and oil-importing economies. We show that shock sizes shape the system returns and volatility connectedness, with lower-tailed and upper-tailed shocks having a greater influence on the system connectedness than shocks modelled at the conditional median. By demon-strating asymmetry, the findings emphasise that for a detailed comprehension of the oil shocks-exchange rates connectedness under extreme shocks, it is necessary to go beyond mean-based connectedness metrics. The im-plications of our findings are important for investors, policymakers, and practitioners.
引用
收藏
页数:14
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